Podcast
Tricolor Collapse, QVC’s TikTok Gamble & Kawhi Fallout
Episode 16 of The Octus Download brings together the collapse of America’s credit-dependent economy, corporate desperation masquerading as innovation, and the spectacular failure of adult supervision.
Tricolor’s Overnight Implosion
Dallas, subprime auto lending. Tricolor Auto Group’s Chapter 7 filing represents more than a single company failure. It exposes the fragility of America’s $1.66 trillion auto debt market. The company served “credit invisible” communities, primarily Hispanic Americans in the Southwest, offering subprime loans at dealership locations.
Key players include:
- JPMorgan Chase, Fifth Third Bancorp, and Barclays as warehouse facility providers
- 65 dealerships across Texas, Arizona, California, and New Mexico
- Double-pledging allegations that triggered the entire collapse
The business model relied on warehouse loans from major banks, temporary financing that allowed Tricolor to originate loans before selling them into securitization vehicles. When allegations arose about double pledging collateral—using the same assets to secure multiple loans—the flywheel stopped instantly.
QVC’s TikTok Hail Mary
The conversation shifts to QVC’s collision with 2025 reality. Market pressures include:
- Customer count decline: From 11.6 million at COVID peak to 7.2 million today
- Tariff impact: Half their goods originate from China
- Cord-cutting devastation: Traditional viewership minutes plummeting
- TikTok investment: 100,000 purchases through social commerce, representing double-digit percentage of domestic revenue
Octus Senior Distressed Debt Analyst Simran Bahl unpacked the company’s $5 billion debt structure, prepaid executive bonuses for 2025-2026, and John Malone’s characteristically convoluted corporate architecture. The billion dollar deferred tax liability creates unique restructuring complications that could favor bankruptcy over liability management exercises.
Netflix’s Unknown Number Reality Check
The episode wraps with Unknown Number, Netflix’s cyberbullying documentary that reveals the ultimate plot twist (Spoilers ahead): the teenage victim’s mother orchestrated years of sexually explicit harassment messages.
The key failures documented include law enforcement’s delay in subpoenaing VPN records for months and the school administration’s decision to blame students while filming a Netflix documentary. Additionally, the community response was marked by every adult prioritizing attention over child protection.
The hosts’ analysis reveals how moral panics about social media consistently scapegoat children while adults orchestrate actual harm. The documentary inadvertently demonstrates that the call is coming from inside the house—literally.
Listen & Subscribe
Listen now on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon Music, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Produced and edited by two-time Emmy Award-winning producer Tanya Hubbard.
This publication has been prepared by Octus, Inc. or one of its affiliates (collectively, "Octus") and is being provided to the recipient in connection with a subscription to one or more Octus products. Recipient’s use of the Octus platform is subject to Octus Terms of Use or the user agreement pursuant to which the recipient has access to the platform (the “Applicable Terms”). The recipient of this publication may not redistribute or republish any portion of the information contained herein other than with Octus express written consent or in accordance with the Applicable Terms. The information in this publication is for general informational purposes only and should not be construed as legal, investment, accounting or other professional advice on any subject matter or as a substitute for such advice. The recipient of this publication must comply with all applicable laws, including laws regarding the purchase and sale of securities. Octus obtains information from a wide variety of sources, which it believes to be reliable, but Octus does not make any representation, warranty, or certification as to the materiality or public availability of the information in this publication or that such information is accurate, complete, comprehensive or fit for a particular purpose. Recipients must make their own decisions about investment strategies or securities mentioned in this publication. Octus and its officers, directors, partners and employees expressly disclaim all liability relating to or arising from actions taken or not taken based on any or all of the information contained in this publication. © 2025 Octus. All rights reserved. Octus(TM) and the Octus logo are trademarks of Octus Intelligence, Inc.